Would Trump Actually Nuke Iran? Probably Not

But just his endless threats and wars of aggression raises the likelihood of a nuclear exchange anyway, writes former defense intel analyst Harrison Mann.

Nov 03, 2026

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“The Trump administration may be within days of launching a nuclear strike on Iran,” according to a solemn tweet posted Sunday by far-right talk show host Tucker Carlson.

Carlson’s tweet, which bizarrely claims former President Barack Obama opposed recent peace negotiations, in no way means that Donald Trump is actually preparing to use the bomb against Iran. The Trump administration loves, to the point of parody, “leaking” hypothetical war plans – or peace plans – to pressure Tehran or to soothe markets. Or, as Carlson’s neo-Nazi rival Nick Fuentes alleges, Carlson fabricated the story so he can later claim that Vice President JD Vance, whom Carlson praises in the tweet and has improbably promoted as a principled anti-war presidential candidate, successfully averted nuclear disaster.

So, Would Trump Use Nuclear Weapons in Iran?

Probably not. Here’s why:

Would Trump Actually Nuke Iran? Probably Not

But just his endless threats and wars of aggression raises the likelihood of a nuclear exchange anyway, writes former defense intel analyst Harrison Mann.

So, Would Trump Use Nuclear Weapons in Iran?

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